Evidence #272 | November 22, 2021

Book of Mormon Evidence: Stylometry

Post contributed by

 

Scripture Central

Abstract

Linguistic analysis of the Book of Mormon indicates (1) that it was written in multiple distinct authorship styles, (2) that these styles correlate with the authors designated in the text itself, and (3) that these styles don’t match the linguistic patterns of commonly proposed 19th century authors, including Joseph Smith.

Since 1830, the Book of Mormon has been presented to the world as a text originally written by multiple ancient prophets, which Joseph Smith translated by the gift and power of God. Those skeptical of the Book of Mormon’s ancient origins and miraculous translation have generally assumed that Joseph Smith himself authored the entire text, or that it was written by one or more of his 19th-century contemporaries.1

To address this issue, several studies have utilized a type of linguistic analysis called stylometry.2 This field of research employs various statistical methods to detect linguistic patterns. Stylometry has most notably been used to help answer questions about texts with disputed authorship, such as the Federalist Papers3 and some of Shakespeare’s plays.4 It has even been shown that stylometry can detect an author’s unique writing style even after his or her words have been translated from one language to another.5 The following summaries highlight the results of several notable stylometric studies on the Book of Mormon.6

Image via kobo.com.

1980 Study (Larsen, Rencher, and Layton)

In 1980,7 Wayne Larsen, Alvin Rencher, and Tim Layton relied on three different statistical methods8 which used non-contextual words9 to distinguish writing styles among the Book of Mormon’s internally designated authors, including Nephi, Alma, Mormon, and Moroni, as well as several 19th century candidates, including Joseph Smith, Sidney Rigdon, and Solomon Spalding.10 Despite initial concerns from some scholars,11 the validity of using non-contextual words to determine authorship is now widely accepted in the broader field of stylometric analysis.12

Larsen and his associates concluded that the Book of Mormon was written in “distinct authorship styles” and that none of the 19th century candidates that they tested “resemble Book of Mormon authors in style.”13 Not only did this 1980 study pioneer stylometric research on the Book of Mormon, but its results have provided an enduring statistical basis in support of Joseph Smith’s claims.

1985 Study (Holmes)

In 1985, David Holmes, using measures of vocabulary richness, found no meaningful difference among the Book of Mormon’s claimed prophetic authors.14 He concluded that Joseph Smith himself wrote the text.15 However, in subsequent studies, other researchers discovered that patterns of vocabulary richness are often not reliable enough to distinguish between writing styles.16 Holmes himself recognized the comparative weakness of this method in his reanalysis of the Federalist essays.17 Naturally, these results largely invalidate his earlier conclusions on Book of Mormon authorship.

1990 Study (Hilton, et al.)

In 1990,18 John Hilton and a team of researchers from Berkeley (most of whom were not Latter-day Saints19) conducted a study using word pattern ratios20 and a new method of differentiation based on what Hilton called rejections.21 This study is especially notable because of its large control samples, which included 26 texts by 9 different control authors and 325 pairwise comparisons.22 Comparisons were made between texts attributed to Nephi and Alma and those from Joseph Smith, Oliver Cowdery, and Solomon Spalding.

The findings of Hilton’s research team largely agreed with the results of the Larsen et al. study, leading them to conclude that “it is statistically indefensible to propose Joseph Smith or Oliver Cowdery or Solomon Spaulding as the author of the 30,000 words from the Book of Mormon attributed to Nephi and Alma” and also that Nephi and Alma “have wordprints unique to themselves and measure statistically independent from each other in the same fashion that other uncontested authors do.” These results indicate that the Book of Mormon was indeed “multiauthored, with authorship consistent to its own internal claims.”23

Various Book of Mormon Prophets. Image via ldsliving.com.

This study’s innovative stylometric approach, combined with its thorough statistical controls, make it a landmark publication on Book of Mormon authorship. Using a slightly different method, researchers from Utah State University essentially reproduced the results of the Hilton study in 2006.24

2008 Study (Jockers, Witten, Criddle)

In 2008, Matthew Jockers, Daniela Witten, and Craig Criddle applied two statistical methods—delta and nearest shrunken centroid classification (NSC)—to the question of Book of Mormon authorship.25 They concluded that the Book of Mormon’s literary style most closely matches writing samples from Solomon Spaulding and Sidney Rigdon, two of Joseph Smith’s 19th-century contemporaries.26

This study, however, contains at least eight significant errors,27 the most critical being that it used a closed set technique on what is clearly an open set problem.28 This methodology excluded everyone but the study’s selected candidates as potential authors.29 Most notably, the 2008 study did not include Joseph Smith as a candidate author,30 and it made no provision for the text to have possibly been written by its internally claimed authors (Nephi, Alma, Mormon, etc.).31

Another major concern is that a closed set of NSC values can only measure a text’s relative similarity with the authorial samples it tests. This means that NSC analysis will always deliver positive results for one of the candidate authors in a given set. As applied in this specific study, it means that the linguistic patterns of one (or more) of the selected authors was bound to give a positive match with the Book of Mormon, even if the tested authors’ styles happened to be very different from the linguistic patterns in the Book of Mormon.32 In other words, the 2008 study failed to recognize how misleading the results of their analysis could be if the true author(s) of the text were not included in their selected group of candidate authors.

2011 Study (Fields, Schaalje, Roper)

In 2011, Paul Fields, Bruce Schaalje, and Matthew Roper reviewed the Jockers et al. study and introduced an improvement upon the NSC method, which they termed extended nearest shrunken centroid classification (ENSC).33 This allowed for the possibility that an unknown author (or authors) not included in the set of potential candidates could have written the text. The Fields et al. study also included Joseph Smith as a candidate author.

With these adjustments in place and other errors from the 2008 study corrected, Sidney Rigdon and Solomon Spaulding each scored a value of 0% for their relative likelihood of authoring the Book of Mormon. Joseph Smith fared little better at 3%. In contrast, the chance of it having been written by one or more authors not included in the set turned out to be 93%.34

Image via Matthew Roper, Paul J. Fields, and G. Bruce Schaalje, “Stylometric Analyses of the Book of Mormon: A Short History,” Journal of the Book of Mormon and Other Restoration Scripture 21, no. 1 (2012): 42.
Image via Matthew Roper, Paul J. Fields, and G. Bruce Schaalje, “Stylometric Analyses of the Book of Mormon: A Short History,” Journal of the Book of Mormon and Other Restoration Scripture 21, no. 1 (2012): 42.

While these results cannot identify the unknown author(s) who likely wrote much of the Book of Mormon, they do show that it is highly likely that its true author(s) were not any of the conjectured 19th-century candidates. This 2011 study thus offers a third stylometric analysis of the Book of Mormon which independently contradicts theories of 19th century authorship.

Chart comparing the linguistic patterns of the Book of Mormon and those of several 19th century candidates.

Conclusion

In light of the above studies, it can be responsibly concluded that the Book of Mormon’s internal claims about its authorship are consistent with the best stylometric evidence currently available. While the Holmes (1985) and Jockers et al. (2008) studies each reached conclusions inconsistent with the Book of Mormon’s claims of authorship, both studies were later found to be fundamentally flawed. In contrast Larsen et al. (1980), Hilton et al. (1990), and Fields et al. (2011) relied on much sounder methodologies. Their mutually supporting conclusions should therefore be taken seriously by anyone assessing questions of Book of Mormon authorship.35

Stylometry is not a perfect science, but over the years its methods for distinguishing writing styles have become increasingly refined. It has even been demonstrated that stylometric analysis can, at least in some circumstances, detect an author’s word-use patterns, even when he or she attempts to write in a different “voice” or to imitate another text’s style.36 The Book of Mormon’s impressive length and complexity would make it especially difficult for its true author(s) to fool the stylometric analysis, whether intentionally or inadvertently. 

It should be understood that stylometry cannot prove that the Book of Mormon was written by multiple ancient American prophets. What it can reliably demonstrate, and what the valid data from the above studies collectively argue, is that (1) the Book of Mormon contains multiple distinct authorship styles, (2) these distinct styles correlate with the words of separate authors designated within the text itself, and (3) none of the proposed 19th century authors—including Joseph Smith himself—have writing styles that are similar to those found in the Book of Mormon. Not only do these results contradict the most popular alternative theories for 19th century authorship, but they are consistent with the text’s own authorial claims.

Further Reading
Endnotes
Linguistics
Book of Mormon

© 2024 Scripture Central: A Non-Profit Organization. All rights reserved. Registered 501(c)(3). EIN: 20-5294264